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Jasper has a historical average of 75mm of rain in July, between 2000 and 2024.

How much rain has fallen this July, so far? We should be able to answer that.

It looks like rainfall this July, so far, is above-average, at 104mm.

How can we say it's drier in Jasper, when it's wetter than average, by quite a margin?

The Earth's climate has been continuously changing for 4.5 billion years and forest fires have existed as long as there have been trees (about 400 million years ago).

Objection. Conjecture.

Can you provide evidence our forests are drier?

Climate Change and Canada’s Forests

https://cfs.nrcan.gc.ca/pubwarehouse/pdfs/29616.pdf

Quote from Government website above:

British Columbia is both a coastal and a mountainous province. The province’s climate varies widely and the terrain is diverse. British Columbia has the most productive and ecologically diverse forests of any province in Canada. The province is also Canada’s largest producer of wood products. British Columbia was the first province to experience a major event related to climate change: the mountain pine beetle outbreak. The main sources of vulnerability to climate change for British Columbia’s forests and forest sector over the next 50 years are as follows: restructured global markets with implications for British Columbia’s exports, increased fire disturbance, increased losses from insect damage and disease, increased frequency and intensity of droughts in the southern interior portions of the province that are currently drought prone, species migration and changes in forest productivity, and loss of habitat in high-elevation forests.

Forest fire

Climate change will significantly increase forest fire activity. Researchers have found that the average annual area burned nationally could increase by 74% to 118% over current values by the latter part of this century. There is, however, wide variation in the extent to which fire activity is expected to increase in different regions. For example, the rate of increase in fire activity will be lower in Atlantic Canada and in the moister eastern portions of the boreal forest whereas it will be higher in the forests of western Ontario and western Canada.